The development of Egyptian agricultural exports stands as a cornerstone within the agricultural sector. Among the significant horticultural export crops, Grapes hold a prominent position in Egypt. With a value of approximately LE 1922 million, Grape exports account for roughly 8.2% of the total agricultural exports from 2014 to 2016. Key findings from this study are as follows:

Expansion of Grape Export Area: The area dedicated to exporting grape varieties witnessed a substantial growth from around 3671 feddan in 2001 to about 48800 feddan in 2016, averaging about 14.5% of the total grape area during the study period (2001-2016).

Stability in Production and Exports: Analysis of instability coefficients for export grape production, quantity, and price during two periods (2001-2008) and (2009-2016) revealed increased stability in grape production and exports during the latter period, indicating improved export stability in recent years.

European Union as a Significant Market: Over the period from 2014 to 2016, the European Union (EU) accounted for an average of 68% of the total Egyptian fresh grape exports, equating to about 77.6 thousand tons. This volume represented only 4.8% of the EU’s total imports of fresh grapes. Notably, the United Kingdom and Netherlands emerged as the primary importers, constituting 31.5% and 20.1%, respectively, of Egypt’s grape exports during 2014-2016.

Chile: A Key Competitor and Partner: Chile serves as a strong competitor and a shared market with Egypt for fresh grape exports. In the English market, Germany exhibited the highest price competitiveness among competing countries. Egypt’s grape price index was 0.30, favorably comparable to Chile and South Africa with indices of 0.17 and 0.28, respectively. However, the market penetration rate was relatively low at 0.088, suggesting challenges in increasing Egyptian grape exports to the UK. Similar trends were observed in the Dutch market where Chile displayed strong price competition, but Egypt’s grape price index was 0.47, offering room for expansion with a market penetration rate of 0.288.

Factors Influencing Exports: The quantity of fresh grape imports to the UK and Dutch markets emerged as significant factors impacting the quantity of Egyptian grape exports to these countries.

Recommendations: The study suggests several actionable recommendations:

1. Early Variety Production: Emphasize the cultivation of early-maturing grape varieties to capture market demand.
2. Market Research and Expansion: Thoroughly study foreign markets and seek to diversify by tapping into new markets.
3. Quality and Awareness: Focus on training and awareness programs for producers and exporters, highlighting quality specifications and health requirements.
4. Market Behavior Analysis: Undertake a comprehensive analysis of export market behaviors to better position Egyptian grape exports.

In conclusion, the development of Egyptian grape exports demonstrates both progress and opportunities. By capitalizing on stability, quality, and strategic market expansion, Egypt can continue to bolster its position in the global grape export market.